How much requested large load in ERCOT reaches approval to energize, and how much is actually drawn?
Requested capacity, approval to energize and observed consumption are different quantities. They are shown side by side from a single source report, never combined into one figure. ERCOT publishes several peak definitions; each is kept separately. ERCOT does not publish these stages by request cohort, so this is a stock view, not a cohort conversion.
Latest report
Plate 1From Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), report dated 13 Mar 2026.
Requested
Approved to energize
Observed peak consumption
238,630MW Outdated as of 12 Apr 2026 Requested ERCOT slide "Current Large Load Interconnection Queue", table row "Total (MW)", column 2030: cumulative actual and projected large load for 2022-2030, summed over statuses No Studies Submitted; Under ERCOT Review; Planning Studies Approved; Approved to Energize but Not Operational; Observed Energized. CARTA-LOADQ-ERCOT-REQUESTED_MW-2026-03-13-001 9,042MW Outdated as of 12 Apr 2026 Approved to energize ERCOT slide "Loads Approved to Energize – Observations 1", verbatim: "Of the 9042 MW that have received Approval to Energize, ERCOT has observed a non-simultaneous monthly peak consumption of 3883 MW in March 2025 which is a slight decrease since February 2025." CARTA-LOADQ-ERCOT-ENERGIZE_APPROVED-2026-03-13-001 5,768MW Outdated as of 12 Apr 2026 Observed peak consumption ERCOT slide "Current Large Load Interconnection Queue", table row "Observed Energized", column 2026. ERCOT definition: "Projects that have received Approval to Energize from ERCOT Operations and are fully operational. Represented by all time non-simultaneous peak load consumption." CARTA-OPLOAD-ERCOT-OBSERVED_ENERGIZED-2026-03-13-001 3,883MW Outdated as of 12 Apr 2026 Observed peak consumption ERCOT slide "Loads Approved to Energize – Observations 1", verbatim: "Of the 9042 MW that have received Approval to Energize, ERCOT has observed a non-simultaneous monthly peak consumption of 3883 MW in March 2025 which is a slight decrease since February 2025." Defined by ERCOT as "the sum of the maximum value for each individual load per month". CARTA-OPLOAD-ERCOT-PEAK_NONSIMULTANEOUS-2026-03-13-001 3,801MW Outdated as of 12 Apr 2026 Observed peak consumption ERCOT slide "Loads Approved to Energize – Observations 2", verbatim: "ERCOT has observed a simultaneous monthly peak consumption of 3801 MW in March 2025 which is a slight decrease since February 2025." Defined by ERCOT as "the maximum value of the sum of all the individual loads per month". CARTA-OPLOAD-ERCOT-PEAK_SIMULTANEOUS-2026-03-13-001
Not yet recorded
Plate 2Missing
These would help answer the question and are not recorded yet:
- Conversion ratios between stages, published as derived Cartas that cite their inputs
- Stage values by request cohort
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